Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.149394 0.170045 0.192950 0.220314 0.252215 0.288345 0.332528
2026-01-11 0.117362 0.144975 0.178620 0.222969 0.280389 0.352899 0.452476
2026-01-18 0.099646 0.130651 0.171135 0.228603 0.309270 0.420267 0.587716
2026-01-25 0.086120 0.118281 0.162622 0.229401 0.329504 0.477400 0.719009
2026-02-01 0.075852 0.108272 0.155047 0.229117 0.346609 0.531330 0.855290
2026-02-08 0.067358 0.099364 0.147380 0.226807 0.359223 0.579295 0.990950
2026-02-15 0.060377 0.091681 0.140292 0.223898 0.369694 0.624629 1.130939
2026-02-22 0.056217 0.087778 0.138456 0.229006 0.394090 0.697811 1.338881
2026-03-01 0.051120 0.081725 0.132284 0.225624 0.402476 0.742662 1.500612
2026-03-08 0.047361 0.077446 0.128523 0.225856 0.417353 0.802288 1.707707
2026-03-15 0.044033 0.073526 0.124887 0.225714 0.431277 0.862230 1.930495
2026-03-22 0.041863 0.071391 0.124149 0.230899 0.456643 0.950989 2.245856
2026-03-29 0.039507 0.068737 0.122262 0.233767 0.478091 1.036518 2.581729
2026-04-05 0.037390 0.066321 0.120570 0.236833 0.500618 1.129639 2.968809
2026-04-12 0.035816 0.064763 0.120344 0.242914 0.531029 1.248620 3.470588
2026-04-19 0.033831 0.062218 0.117878 0.243777 0.549252 1.340625 3.923348
2026-04-26 0.031921 0.059640 0.115066 0.243474 0.564563 1.428354 4.395019
2026-05-03 0.029987 0.056841 0.111512 0.240997 0.573956 1.501871 4.846683
2026-05-10 0.028173 0.054132 0.107884 0.237880 0.581176 1.570912 5.310315
2026-05-17 0.027224 0.053130 0.107829 0.243355 0.612549 1.720289 6.146651
2026-05-24 0.025637 0.050648 0.104277 0.239729 0.617989 1.789986 6.691917
2026-05-31 0.024463 0.048959 0.102348 0.239978 0.634673 1.900775 7.467227
2026-06-07 0.023349 0.047311 0.100358 0.239826 0.650217 2.012033 8.301875